The Fantasy Corner — Week 13

FANTASY FOOTBALL, New York, November 27

BY: Andrew Wroblewski

Drawing by Arielle Dollinger; Designed by Andrew Wroblewski
Drawing by Arielle Dollinger; Designed by Andrew Wroblewski

Gobble, gobble; it’s time for me to eat some turkey – but don’t worry, I’m not taking a week off from my picks.

As far as last week’s picks go, it’s a bit hard to say exactly how I did considering this article was written on Monday before the final two games of the week were played. But, from what I do know, WR Josh Gordon is still a beast – he put up 12 points in ESPN standard scoring and could have done even more damage if his quarterback was a bit better. Sitting QB Drew Stanton was also a smart call – the Arizona quarterback put up just 149 yards through the air and also threw an interception.

Anyway, it’s turkey time so let’s get to the picks:

Start ’Em:

QB Matthew Stafford (DET) vs CHI

At times, the Detroit offense can be beyond frustrating. In WR Calvin Johnson, WR Golden Tate, RB Reggie Bush, RB Joique Bell and – you guessed it – QB Matthew Stafford, the Lions should be a top offense in football. Quite frankly, though, they haven’t (bottom half in the league in terms of total offense), but this week is setting up nicely for Detroit to finally break out and it starts with Stafford.

WR Odell Beckham Jr. (NYG) at JAX

Did you see that catch? On Sunday night when the Giants took on Dallas, WR Odell Beckham Jr. made one of the greatest catches of all time – seriously. The kid is legit and he should move up the wide receiver rankings at a rapid pace. This week, with an easy matchup against Jacksonville, Beckham Jr. should have his best game yet.

RB Denard Robinson (JAX) vs NYG

It’s hard to find bright spots when it comes to the Jacksonville Jaguars, but RB Denard Robinson has arguably been the brightest spot the Jags have been able to muster this season. He’s getting plenty of touches and he’s turning them into yards. Against the Giants, he’ll turn them into a lot of yards.

TE Brent Celek (PHI) at DAL

The Cowboys have trouble covering the tight end – they’ve allowed 8 TDs to tight ends this season through 11 games. That bodes well for TE Brent Celek who has been seeing plenty of targets with QB Mark Sanchez now slinging the football.

K Dan Bailey (DAL) vs PHI

A top-4 kicker this year, K Dan Bailey has had some big games at home this year. When they play on the road, the Eagles have been giving up some big points to opposing kickers. Mix those two together and K Dan Bailey should be a great play this week on Thanksgiving.

D/ST Texans (HOU) vs TEN

The Texans’ defense is just plan scary. J. J. Watt can win games for Houston by himself, but he’s also been getting plenty of help from his teammates. The Texans have taken the ball away a league-high 23 times this year and, against a Tennessee offense that’s been average at best, I see Houston having a big day.

Sit ’Em:

QB Jay Cutler (CHI) at DET

He’s one of the highest paid quarterbacks in the league, but QB Jay Cutler hasn’t really played up to the “elite” moniker this season. Sporting a QBR of 59 and having five games with multiple interceptions put Cutler in a tough situation. That, and facing the best defense in football this week (Detroit).

WR Mike Evans (TB) vs CIN

A risky call here since WR Mike Evans has been an absolute monster recently, but the rookie should struggle against a Cincinnati secondary that’s been one of the best in football in terms of not allowing big fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.

RB Ryan Mathews (SD) at BAL

Another risky pick, but RB Ryan Mathews is just one of those guys you can’t trust. Sure, he had a great game last week (16 points), but this week Mathews faces a defense that isn’t as prone to rushing attacks as St. Louis was in the previous game. Baltimore is allowing a total of 10.6 fantasy pp/g to opposing running backs.

TE Greg Olsen (CAR) at MIN

QB Cam Newton has been struggling – severely. While he’s getting back on track, TE Greg Olsen has only been able to legitimately contribute in one game out of the last four. Minnesota has only allowed a tight end to score against it twice and has kept tight ends’ receiving yardage to a minimum.

K Caleb Sturgis (MIA) at NYJ

Kicking at MetLife Stadium is tough to do on a normal day. In December, with forecasted rain, make that task even more of a challenge. Stay away from K Caleb Sturgis this week; he’s going to have some trouble dealing with the atmosphere and conditions.

D/ST Chiefs (KC) vs DEN

Oh how the mighty have fallen. Last week, the Chiefs were my start of the week – they burned me by putting up just 2 points. This week, they get Denver, a team that has allowed a total of 0 points – no that is not a typo – to opposing defenses and special teams this season.

Originally published: Long Islander News: The Record
(Thursday, November 27 2014;  A29)

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